Your Soccer Betting Tip Strategy – What You Need to Know to Win

Watching sports and making some money out of it is the perfect entertainment on the weekend and also during the week. Statistics confirm that soccer bets are the most popular ones worldwide. You can also take advantage of these as long as you know how to select and make the best bets.

The first step towards making good money is for you to take up soccer betting seriously. Watching the games at home or the stadium is clearly insufficient. You will firstly need to get acquainted with the schedules of the national championship or the football club tournaments. This way, you will be able to figure out when the most appropriate time to place bets is. When deciding on which game to gamble you have to take into account a number of factors related to the two teams.

The general physical condition of each player is essential as well as the preparation of the whole team. The motivation of the teams is also extremely important. Do not forget to take into account the interpersonal relations between the players and the manager. Overall, it is a good idea to pay attention to all the news about the two clubs including the financial and even the gossip ones. You might also need to maintain a statistical data of the games results and the outcomes of your betting to obtain precise calculations.

You can find information on all the championships, games, teams and players online as well as in the sports news and the press. Make sure you read all the expert analytical articles as well. Usually, most respected bookmaker’s websites have all such information readily available on their soccer betting web pages. You can also take advantage of the free or paid soccer betting tips that are offered online.

Both Teams to Score Sports Betting Strategy – Step by Step

Both teams to score: yes

This one is probably my favourite betting strategies, which fairly makes a big part of my profit. I just love it. How can’t you if this kind of bet can win, let’s say 8 minutes after kick off. This is more of a method than a strategy, and I will share it with you just now.

Step 1

From all of upcoming matches pick 3-5 games that you think surely will end as “both teams to score: yes”. For example, such games as Almeria-Sevilla. Firstly, you should look in La Liga and Bundesliga, that’s my tip. As a result you should have couple of games that you consider very likely to match this bet.

Every specialist that regularly makes these bets should have a list of teams that are most likely to score and concede. Short list of 10-15 clubs, but don’t forget that every new season is special and these lists should be updated and teams should be checked on injured players, etc.

A very important thing is home game or guest game. Why did I mention Almeria – Sevilla earlier? Almeria are heroes at home. At least, they were in 2009/2010. They scored almost in every home game, no matter who is there at the other end of it – Barcelona or Real Madrid. And Sevilla, team with very good offence, and middle-level defence. What does that give us? Both teams to score: yes!

Step 2

Add a lot more games (maybe even all games of championships you are aware of) to your list and tick each of them as likely or unlikely to match the bet. Think of home factor, motivation, offence and defence factor.

Step 3

Include “weak vs weak” games and exclude “strong vs strong” games. Weak teams when playing against each other are much more likely to score against each other then big teams.

Step 4

Tick with pluses games that are left, and leave those that you just don’t feel like scoring aside. If your intuition tells you that something is not OK with the game, forget about it.

Step 5

Statistics! Best friend of every handicapper. So, how many games you got left after 4 steps? Check those teams’ statistics. What is most important, how a team played last matches at home or away and on that particular stadium. Maybe some teams that are usually scoring and conceding, just love to show 0:0 against each other.

Step 6

So, what to do next with games that you got left. Check the teams’ roaster, whether all forwards and defenders are OK, look for motivation of any of the teams. A team could play in several cups and exhausted after a Champions League game, which could be good or bad for you, depends on the team.

Step 7

Bet on the games that are left! Sometimes I get a couple of 99% pairs and put them into a multi bet.

Every new week you should remember, that every tour is special and don’t be lazy to follow these steps every time!

Soccer Betting – The Footyforecast Method

Soccer Betting is a series of articles that describe some well known and well used statistical techniques that will help the soccer punter make more informed bets. Each of the techniques has its own advantages and disadvantages and using them in isolation will improve your chances of winning. However, together they will prove invaluable in your battle with the bookies. In each article we will describe in detail how a particular method works giving you enough information for you to go ahead and create your own forecasts. We will also give you information as to where you can already find websites that use this technique in comprising their weekly soccer betting forecasts.

The statistical methods described in this set of articles should help you to arrive at a better decision about the match, or matches, that you are betting on.

In this article we will be describing the Footyforecast method. The Footyforecast method was originally developed for the English Football Pools and attempts to eliminate those matches that will not be draws, leaving you with a shorter list of matches from which to choose your 8 from 11. This method was introduced to the world in 1999 on the original Footyforecast website (now 1X2Monster.com). This method is similar to the Simple Sequence method which is described in another of our articles in this series.

Here are the basic rules…

For each team work out the following, 1. Work out the total number of points obtained for the last N games. 2. Work out the maximum number of possible points for the last N games. 3. Divide the total number of points obtained by the maximum available and multiply by 100. 4. Calculate the forecast value. In (1) and (2) above N games could be all the home games for the home side and all the away games for the away side. Alternatively N could be the last N games including all home and away games for a team. The forecast value is calculated like this…

HOMEPOINTS = number of points for home team from last N games

AWAYPOINTS = number of points for away team from last N games

HOMEVAL = (HOMEPOINTS / (POINTSFORWIN * N)) *100

AWAYVAL = (AWAYPOINTS / (POINTSFORWIN * N)) *100

FORECAST = (HOMEVAL + (100 – AWAYVAL)) / 2

To calculate the possible outcome of a match based on the Footyforecast method the value is compared with the following… 1. A forecast value of 50 = a draw. 2. A value between 50 and 100 gives an increasing chance of a home win the closer to 100. 3. A value between 50 and 0 gives an increasing chance of an away win the closer to 0. There are a few variables to consider, for example the number of matches to use and whether to use all matches or just home for home side and just away for away side to name but two. You may wish to experiment with these values. By plotting actual resulting draws against the forecast it is possible to generate two threshold values, one for away wins and one for home wins, any values in-between these thresholds are likely draws. All matches outside these thresholds will be less likely to be draws. For example a value of 40 or less for away wins and a value of 60 or more for home wins. This would mean any matches falling between 41 and 59 may be draws. What this method does, with careful tuning by the user is to eliminate many matches which will not be draws giving you a short list to choose from. This method is best used where an English Pools Plan is to be used.

Here is a worked example…

The values shown are the points gained by the team for each game in a sequence of four recent matches, you of course could choose more games to base your calculations on. West Ham H4 = 3 (oldest match) H3 = 1 H2 = 1 H1 = 0 (most recent match) Leeds Utd A4 = 1 (oldest match) A3 = 3 A2 = 0 A1 = 3 (most recent match) Using only home games for home side and only away games for away side… FFPHome = ((3 + 1 + 1 + 0) / 12) * 100 = 42 FFPAway = ((1 + 3 + 0 + 3) / 12) * 100 = 59 FFPForcast = (42 + (100 – 59)) / 2 = 42 If our threshold values are 40 and 60 then for this match the prediction lies in the expected draw region and at the lower end meaning that if it is not a draw the most likely other outcome would be an away win. This may be interpreted as an X2 prediction, i.e. draw or away win, which some bookies will accept as a bet.

Now it’s your turn…

Of course you may choose to use different values to those shown above and by experimenting you may come up with better values to use. You may also choose to use all home and away games played by each team in your calculations instead of just home games for the home team and away games for the away team. You may choose to have different thresholds than those shown above. You may also find it beneficial to plot actual results against the Footyforecast method predictions to see how many actual draws fall in the away win, draw, and home win prediction zones.

If you have the necessary skills you could go away and build your own spreadsheet of data or even write a piece of software to take in results and fixtures and apply the Footyforecast method to your data. Or, if you’re lazy like me, you could grab some free software that already does this for you. 1X2Monster and Footyforecast have been providing this kind of facility since 1999. A total of seven different statistical methods are used to determine the outcome of each game played in each league, and a comprehensive record of how each method in each game performed is kept. Apart from how each tip performed within its respective league 1X2Monster also provides the league tables of how each league has performed in successfully predicting outcomes of games. The league tables of prediction performance are produced for home win predictions, draw predictions, away win predictions, and for overall predictions and are invaluable tools to the soccer punter when deciding where to target their European soccer betting predictions.

Here is a list of all the articles in this series…

Soccer Betting – How To Make A Profit Soccer Betting – The Rateform Method Soccer Betting – The Footyforecast Method Soccer Betting – The Win Draw Loss Method Soccer Betting – The Simple Sequence Method Soccer Betting – The Score Prediction Method Soccer Betting – The Superiority Method

Casino Online Betting – Why to Select Playing Online

If you look ten years back from now, you would probably recognize how difficult it was to manage some time from your busy schedule to get into a casino in order to enjoy your games. Time has changed and now you can essentially enjoy the same excitement and thrill of casinos right from your home computer. Casino online betting has come as a great boom eliminating the hassles and making it easier for people to reach out their preferred casino playoffs from anywhere and everywhere.

Leaving behind the requirement of traveling all the way to a faraway casino, you can now enjoy online betting at your computer with internet connection. Casino betting stands legal for all those who have attained the age of 21. So if you’re 21 and looking to try your hands in gambling, you can join in the same excitement available right in your own room. A variety of casino gambling sites are lined in the internet aiming to bring you the best always.

In fact, if you happen to play in any online casino site from before, you will probably know what are the main advantages associated with online casino betting. The features that an online casino offers its players are usually more than what are available in any land based casinos. Today, the online casinos have emerged as the most choice able medium emerging as the largest revenue maker of the gambling industry each year.

The reasons that makes online casino gambling the most popular medium of playing selected casino games include:

1.Offering more choices of online betting sites: It is the online casinos that make casino gaming much simpler as possible in terms of selection of particular sites to play. Currently, the internet includes a large number of casino sites than the total number of brick and mortar casinos based worldwide. Thus, you need not have to worry about the distance of finding a good casino.

Finding a good site is just a few clicks away. Additionally, you can always change your site at your own ease. However, one vital thing to consider is to avoid any kind of rogue casino sites. Make your casino online betting an enjoyable one ensuring the sites that are recognized and do not cheat the player’s money.

2.Convenient and easy withdrawal and deposit alternatives: The online sites offer a range of different banking options to help players in making their withdrawals and deposit. Most online betting sites accept major credit cards like Master and Visa for both withdrawal and deposit purpose. The use of wire transfer of money from the casino account to your banking account is safe and convenient ensuring a secure play each time. Additionally, you can also select to use other e-wallet options like that of Neteller, Entropay, Click2 pay, Money bookers, My Citadel to transfer the money to or from your own casino account.

3.Promotions and Bonuses to be won online: The bonuses and promotions also form to be an attractive option for casino online betting. You will never find these options in any brick and mortar casino. It is the online casino that offers you a range of welcome or sign up bonuses, cash back bonuses, no deposit or deposit matching bonuses and more. With these freebies, you will be able to increase your bankroll at ease. In addition, you can also make use of this kind of free money to increase your cash using them in your further bets.

4.Distance does not matter in the present date: With the inclusion of the internet casinos, there is no need to travel to a faraway casino. The online sites can be conveniently reached by clicking your mouse. Thus the online casino eliminates this distance factor. It enables people who reside in a far away place to sit and enjoy their favorite games online while playing from the comforts of their home or office.

5.Play anytime from anywhere: Continuing with the fourth point, the casino online betting includes one basic advantage that is it makes gambling more easier including the opportunity of playing from anywhere and at anytime. Wherever you may be, you can just connect your pc online and get started with your favorite games.

Casino, Sports Betting, and Lottery – A Comparison of the House Edge

The house edge, which is the commission that a gambling agent such as a

casino, a sportsbook (bookmaker), or a lottery administrator charges, is a

yardstick that measures how a specific gambling game is fair and reasonable.

It is one of the most important factors that every player should consider whenever he/she is engaged in any type of gambling, inasmuch as it indicates how much of the money wagered goes to the gambling agent’s pocket and how much is redistributed to the winners. Indeed, a house edge cannot be zero since casinos, sportsbooks, and lottery administrators have to make some money in order to cover their expenses, and to make some profit as well. Yet, a high house edge simply means that the players are unnecessarily being ripped-off, and as a result, any gambling game with a high house edge should certainly be avoided by a

knowledgeable gambler.

In this article, we shall compare, in the simplest way

possible, the house edges of a roulette, an evens-odd betting, and a Cash 3

lottery game as representatives of the three major gambling categories.

The Equation

The easiest way to compute a house edge is to compare the actual winnings that are

paid by the respective agents to the winnings that would be paid in a

fair game or bet. A fair game or a fair bet is one in which no commission

is involved; an obvious model is a game between friends. Therefore, in

percentage form, the house edge is obtained by subtracting an actual game winning

from a fair game winning and dividing the result by the fair game winning,

finally multiplying by 100. Thus,

House Edge = [ (fair game winning – actual game winning) / fair game winning ] *

100

Roulette

Because of its simplicity and popularity, we shall consider the roulette as a

representative casino game. A European roulette wheel has grooves marked by the

numbers 0 to 36; the American wheel (also called Las Vegas wheel) has an

additional groove marked as ’00’. So, the European wheel has a total of 37

numbers, while the American wheel has 38. Internet casinos usually make available

the option to select the type of wheel the customer prefers, but the brick and

mortar casinos normally offer only one type. The winning number in a roulette

game is the number corresponding to the groove where a spinning ball lands.

Now, consider a fair game in which 38 friends are playing the roulette at home,

and each one selects a number and places a $1 bet on the number (no two or more

players wagering on the same number). When the ball is spun and lands in a

groove, the number marking that groove will be the winning number.

The person who has selected this winning number collects all the money on the

table thus making him win $37. On the other hand, if the game were conducted in

a casino, the winner would be paid only $35. The difference between the two

winnings applied in the above equation gives us the house edge of a roulette game

as

( 37 – 35 ) / 37 * 100 = 2 / 37 * 100 = 5.4%

This means that every time you spend a $100 on an offline or online casino roulette, $5.40 goes to the casino and the rest is redistributed to the winners. Evidently, there are quite a number of casino games and the house edge varies

from game to game, many of them having a house edge less than that of the

roulette. For obvious reasons, a good gambler always prefers games that have low house

edges, while the casino itself loves those games with high house edges. For example,

the house edge of craps is 1.4% which makes it one of the most preferred casino

games by the players.

Even-odds Sports Betting

Again, because of its simplicity, we shall consider an even-odds betting as a

representative of this category of gambling. By even-odds we mean that the event

(usually a sports game) has equal chances of going either way. An example is a

tennis match between two competitive players each of which has an equal chance

of winning the match.

A fair bet, in this case, is just a simple bet between two friends who just

pick one of the tennis player as winner. If these two friends wager $1 each, the

winner will collect $2, thus winning $1. If instead the bets are placed

through a sportsbook, the winner will collect only $1.91, since the odds of an

evens game at most bookies and online sportsbooks is 1.91. If you are not familiar with the

decimal representation of odds, 1.91 is the same as 10/11 in UK notation and

-110 in US odds notation. Odds of 10/11 mean that you’ll win $10 when you wager $11; and odds of -110 mean that you have to wager $110 in order

to win $100. Anyway, since the winnings paid by a sportsbook is only $0.91, the house

edge of an even-odds betting
will therefore be

( 1 – 0.91 ) / 1 * 100 = 0.09 * 100 = 9%

So, this is how sportsbooks make a living. Since several internet sportsbooks offer odds higher than 1.91 in order to lure

bettors, the house edge could be smaller than 9%, which is one of the things that the bettor should be looking for when searching for a sportsbook. On the other hand, if the bettor is

wagering on parlays the house edge would be significantly higher than 9%; for

big parlays, it could go as high as 40%.

It should be apparent by now that the gambler is better off with casino games

than sports betting. It should also be noted that while the house edge could

be a major factor to consider while selecting a gambling game, it is by no means

the only one. For instance, one should consider the fact that casino games are

mostly games of chance, while sports betting also involves a learned decision in

selecting a pick, consequently leading to a higher probability of winning a bet.

Cash 3

Depending on the state you are in, this lottery game may be known by a

different name such as Pick 3, Play 3, Daily 3, etc. In this game, the player

selects a three-digit number from 000 to 999, and plays the number as a straight

or as a box. A straight play is a prediction that the number will come exactly

as selected while a box is a prediction for the number to come in any order. For

instance, if a player selects the number 672 and plays it straight, he/she will

win if the number drawn is exactly 672. Instead, if the player plays 672 as a

box, he/she will win as long as the drawn number contains a 6, a 7 and a 2, in

any order (276, for example). Obviously, a straight game pays much more

than a box game for the same amount wagered.

Now consider 1000 friends (maybe in a club) selecting a number as a straight,

each for $1, so that all the 1000 possible numbers are covered. When the winning

number is drawn, the person who has selected that lucky number will be deemed a

winner and will cash in all the $1000 collected, so making him win $999. This is

a fair game. In the case of state lotteries, however, the winner will be paid

only $500 in most states. Some states may pay a little bit less, others may pay

a little bit more, but $500 is more or less the standard. The winner therefore

wins $499. The house edge for a Cash 3 game will therefore be

( 999 – 499 ) / 999 * 100 = 500 / 999 * 100 = 50%

This house edge applies not only to the Cash 3 game but also to all state

lottery games such as Play 4, Cash 5, Mega, Fantasy 5, Lotto, Power Ball, etc.

So, whenever you are playing the state lottery, remember that you are wagering

only half of your money on the actual lottery; the other half, you are

just giving it away. Where this other half goes is not the gambler’s concern,

since his/her main objective is to win some money in order to pay the ever

present bills, or to get out of a miserable life, or to change his/her

20-year-old car. As regards contributing to education and other noble causes,

there are other means of collecting money called taxes and charities.

Unfortunately, many states do not allow casino games, and furthermore,

sports betting is illegal in the United States. The player is therefore left

with no choice but to cross state borders in search of a casino, or more

recently, to engage in online sports betting through the several offshore

internet sportsbooks. Nowadays, there is a plethora of trustworthy online

casinos and sportsbooks operating from Canada, the UK, Antigua, Costa Rica, and

so on.

The Conclusion

As far as the house edge is concerned, it has been shown that casino games

are the best choice for the gambler. On the other end, any state lottery is a

pretty miserable game to play. Nevertheless, besides the house edge, there is

also the possibility of winning to consider.

Casino games, like lotteries are mostly games of chance; the player just

selects a number or numbers and waits to see what luck brings him/her. There is

absolutely no basis to prefer one number to others. Some people try to analyze

previously drawn numbers in order to see the trend and predict the next numbers.

This strategy may work a few times, but not always. Keep in mind that it is the

players, and not the machines, who remember the previous numbers. In short, the

possibility of winning a roulette or the lottery entirely depends on luck.

While there is little or nothing that a roulette or a lotto player can do to

initially select a possible winning number, the situation could be quite

different in the case of betting. With a lot of information and some assistance from

sports handicappers, it is possible to predict the outcome of a sports event

with more certainty than predicting a Cash 3 number.